I need help with the math on this


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Posted by gary g (209.187.113.87) on August 23, 1999 at 14:56:45:

In Reply to: An italian (REAL) cure for CH (30% of possibilities) posted by Riccardo Pentenero on August 23, 1999 at 02:33:57:

if it reduces the problem about 30% of the time
and INCREASES the problem in 20% of the cases

I get this=
10% likelihood of benefit
which would be a clue to look elsewhere, to me, and is WAY too narrow a margin to put on the list of possibles

what did I miss ?

why do I care ?
well, if it worked, I'd want to know
if it didn't work I'd want to know that also

PLUS - to me the COLLECTIVE goal is to keep trying to narrow the focus, until we have a much better handle on both cause & relief which will apply in a majority of cases

and I am one who sees the PRIME value in this board as being an information exchange/test/comparison medium-
so that's where I put my focus, along with several others
doesn't mean others can't find other values here too, of course they can -

so -
I APPLAUD Ricardo for his report & continuing participation,
but ALSO:
suggest it may be a little weak to include in the collective experience at this point

and if we're NOT trying to boil this thing down to some reliable, collectively demonstrated handle on CLuster Headache - then what's the point of even having the CHMB ?





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