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Title: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 19th, 2005, 10:32am Mann.. this has been one heck of a Hurricane season... The outdoor chairs are getting worn out, and not from sitting in them... Putting them up, taking them out, Putting them up.... Well I just hope that this on just runs out of steam in the Gulf.... I don't think anyone can handle anymore Hurricane's.... As this thing passes everyone check in, if anyone needs any help in Florida, we are in Bradenton... about 45 miles south of Tampa Bay.... Keepin our fingers crossed.. Everyone's in our Thought's and Prayer's God Bless Charlie Edited to add: they just put us under Tropical Storm Warnings.. |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by LeLimey on Sep 19th, 2005, 10:37am This is the first I've heard of this one, any more info? |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 19th, 2005, 10:39am http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL1805W_sm2+gif/151209W_sm.gif This is the latest I have..... Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by ghost62 on Sep 19th, 2005, 10:47am by the looks of this it could easily break north or south .. could be fun. NOT! |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Redd715 on Sep 19th, 2005, 10:49am Something has GOT to give...somewhere somehow.... When is enough enough already? :( >:( :( |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by floridian on Sep 19th, 2005, 10:53am All the models put landfall to the west of New Orleans/Biloxi - hopefully well to the west. http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/at200518_model.html |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 19th, 2005, 10:57am http://storage.msn.com/x1pxOYwqu4SjF5iohZHoAAhedPNC-fbvhopgMimcugLv06AiK212bqCboidQtM1WraCveX7hva_C-mgQQr3ALgkIl3JUUkl7bwkTl9ZyajYHZuSCgfPq20TFssox5d06k_V7RHDP9pC1c4GiYpKTtmRrw Even the wind and the clouds have started to pick up here.. and I am on the West Coast.... Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by LeLimey on Sep 19th, 2005, 11:17am Thanks for that site Flo, thats what I needed but couldn't find. How much longer is the "hurricane season"? |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Frank_W on Sep 19th, 2005, 11:23am It lasts through autumn, I think. |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 19th, 2005, 11:39am Hurricane season ends on November 30..... Long way off yet.... it got a early start.... Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Melissa on Sep 19th, 2005, 12:22pm I don't know why, but I'm more concerned with the one that's following Rita. It looks scary to me. :( I pray you will all be safe down there Charlie!! hugs, mel |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Redd715 on Sep 19th, 2005, 12:29pm on 09/19/05 at 12:22:34, Melissa wrote:
And it appears there is another mass of clouds right behind that one too Mel. I don't like the looks of this at all. |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by sandie99 on Sep 19th, 2005, 1:03pm ((((((((Vibes & Prayers))))))))) May the hurricane season be over soon... It's news like these which make me be so happy that I live in Finland. No hurricanes, tornados, etc. Sanna |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 19th, 2005, 1:14pm Just reminds me of that Movie where the weather goes all heywire... where they get the one big Storm in the end..... I know Jolene knows what movie I am talking about.... Oh well we have plenty of plywood.... Believe me if it looks to bad we will be packing up the animals and heading North.... Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by LeLimey on Sep 19th, 2005, 1:28pm Mel and Pegg are you looking at websites about those storms? what ones are they please? |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Redd715 on Sep 19th, 2005, 2:05pm on 09/19/05 at 13:28:15, LeLimey wrote:
If the grid above can't be seen Hun, heres the link for it. http://storage.msn.com/x1pxOYwqu4SjF5iohZHoAAhedPNC- there are three masses all in a row..things could get real messy. |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by BikerBob on Sep 19th, 2005, 2:49pm Don't worry about the one behind Rita, that's Phillipe and will stay out over the ocean. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at2+shtml/151443.shtml?5day Rita could become another killer. As shown in this graphic archive, when Katrina passed over south Florida it was a cat 1 with 75 mph winds. It grew to a cat 5 with 175 mph winds over the warm waters of the Gulf. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2005/KATRINA_graphics.shtml Rita will pass over south Florida Tuesday night as a cat 1 with 75+ mph winds just like Katrina did. It's headed straight for the warm waters of the Gulf where its expected to grow to 100+ mph winds in 72 hours. Its expected to hit the Gulf coast of Texas, where many of the Katrina victims are, on Friday night. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/153924.shtml?5day BB |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Melissa on Sep 19th, 2005, 3:02pm oh no :( this sux >:( |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 19th, 2005, 3:05pm Thats what I am worried about.. the Gulf temp is still above 90 around here.. so its even warmer south of us... The warmer water just gives them things more power... They are talking on the radio about a high pressure system that might be over Texas on Thurs & Fri... which might cause the thing to come right back at us or along those lines... Right now the computer models have it going everywhere.... Its a waiting game right now.... But if it starts going north in the Gulf it will strengthen.... Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by karma on Sep 19th, 2005, 4:36pm Quote:
Not True but it does give people an understanding about evacuation quandries and why it's always last minute. http://www.nlmoc.navy.mil/cgi-bin/main.pl?tropical Try this site ( its ok to accept the cert.) Stick to official information and if you live in a hurricane prone area learn how to be prepared. Worrying does diddly! You can't change what will be but you can be prepared if the sh!t hits the fan |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Sandy_C on Sep 19th, 2005, 4:47pm Thanks Karma. That's a good graphic on Rita. I hope it stays on that course. NO, Biloxi, Gulfport, etc. absolutely cannot withstand another hit right now. You FL folks - Please batten down your hatches and stay safe, you hear! We need you guys. Praying for the safety of all. Sandy |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by BobG on Sep 19th, 2005, 4:51pm The bad news.... Just saw on the Weather Channel there is a mandatory evacuation on the Keys. The good news..... Tolls have been suspended on the bridges leading from the islands. This time the poor people can get away (if they walk fast enough). The best news is..... There is a dark complexioned lady reading the news and she is a Hottie. |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by ghost62 on Sep 19th, 2005, 4:54pm on 09/19/05 at 16:51:10, BobG wrote:
Cool Bob get some before its blown away. |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by cootie on Sep 19th, 2005, 5:20pm Hey I had a group of close friends goin on a cruise that leaves from Florida....they were headin out either Sunday or I think maybe today.....Monday.....this cruise goes out into the gulf tho and travels out towards Mexico and where ever them things travel out that way. We were invited but couldn't go. Wonder if they still got to go tho.....all were flyin to Florida last I heard. Wouldn't want to be out in that gulf knowin some lunitic hurricane was doin weeble wobbling out there. I know the cruise lines plan around storms but this one would seem to be following them and then what ??? Run away cruise liner Pam PS: Charlie and all in this storms path or 'possible path'......be safe !!!!!!!!!!!! |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by NewlyBlonde on Sep 19th, 2005, 6:38pm Hi JCM and all! I was here before under the name of Apple, but couldn't sign on. Anyway, I'm under a Hurricane Watch at the moment due to Rita. How lovely! Had a migraine earlier, but Imitrex killed it! YES! I'm so freakin sick of this I can SCREAM! I've really had it. As soon as my husband retires, we're OUTTA HERE! There are other difficulties in my area as well (long story). My area is a very stressful place to live for a variety of reasons. Fed up! :-[ p.s. Sorry to come on board with such a grumpy message! I'm usually a little "lighter" than this!!! ::) :P ;) |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by catlind on Sep 19th, 2005, 6:46pm on 09/19/05 at 13:28:15, LeLimey wrote:
Clark (he's a meteorologist) said the one behind Rita is Philippe, and the one behind that is still just a disturbance, and then there's another one behind that again. Those will become Stan and Tammy if they develop into tropical storms. Cat |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by marlinsfan on Sep 19th, 2005, 6:52pm Wind is picking up here (hollywood, on the east coast of florida in Broward County). I just finished bringing my stuff in from the yard, and closing the shutters. It's already rained a lot. I hope we don't lose power. We lost power with Katrina a couple of weeks ago, and it got HOT real fast inside the house. Wish us luck. |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Jonny on Sep 19th, 2005, 7:38pm Hang in there Marlin dude......all my luck is with you folks down there!!!! |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Barry_T_Coles on Sep 19th, 2005, 8:19pm on 09/19/05 at 11:39:15, jcmquix wrote:
Looks like when your season ends is when ours starts, we are not looking forward to it as the dry season in these parts has just been to typical for TC season with the sea warming up earlier than hoped and the hump back whales are on the move earlier than usual. It's looking like we might get an early start and could be a long one. Keep safe where you are and if you have to get out do it like you'r runnin from the demon. Kind Regards Thoughts are with you. Barry |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Charlie on Sep 19th, 2005, 9:45pm I'm been watching this and they are on the ball this time. Looks like nobody will be allowed near this one. God what a horror. When I was a kid, Hurricane Hazel in the fifties is the one that I remember the most. Not sure where it hit down south but it even floated a few docks down Chautauqua Lake here. We never get much more than a gale out of these things. What a effen disaster in the making.... >:( Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by rumplestiltskin on Sep 19th, 2005, 11:36pm could come right up our butt. We are fairly safe from the killer part at 100 miles inland...40 miles N of Houston....lotta new cajun folks in town. If it hits Galv and goes up through Houston at the force of Katrina...Lord God yer talkin about a fuckin mess of dead and destructed! Butt the Galveston folks are already talkin about buses for evacuation...that's the first time I ever heard them talk about buses in an evacuation...odd....I wonder why buses? Usually they just tell people what road to take and when....odd Buyin water and supplies tomorrow. den |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by kimmeesue on Sep 19th, 2005, 11:47pm My son is in Slidell/New Orleans helping with the clean-up. Says the contractor he's working under says another hit even close to Katrina and kiss the area goodbye. There will be literally nothing left to rebuild. Everyone out there who believes in the power of prayer now would be a good time to get on your knees. Kim |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Carl_D on Sep 20th, 2005, 12:01am :'( There has been so much death and destruction... the thought of more is almost unbearable. Candles are lit and prayers going out to all the folks down south. Peace, Carl D |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by BMoneeTheMoneeMan on Sep 20th, 2005, 12:13am its so weird how phillipe is supposed to go far north, but Rita is supposed to go due west. Weird how mother nature works. For katrina, they said it would go north into the florida panhandle, but it ended up staying south and gained lots before turning north. The waters are very warm there, it is sure to strengthen. My thoughts go out to all down in hurricane land. BMonee |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 20th, 2005, 4:41am on 09/19/05 at 16:36:58, karma wrote:
Not True ??? One thing I can tell you from living here in Florida... they never go where they say they will..... No I am not sitting around worrying about it.. Diddly... I am Praying for these in the path of this thing and hoping people in the affected area's are smart enough this time to get out and/or be prepared..... Have a Nice Day God Bless Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by karma on Sep 20th, 2005, 6:49am Quote:
NOT TRUE AGAIN Forecasting accuracy has improved by leaps and bounds over the last couple of years. Its just that people pay to much attention to that damn forecast track and aren't educated enough to look at the whole picture. I didn't mean to sound antagonistic before, If it came across that way I apologize. The point I was making is, If you're gonna live in a hurricane prone area BE PREPARED and then pray |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by marlinsfan on Sep 20th, 2005, 7:21am I am no veteran, I've only been in Florida 7 years, but during that time I've never seen a storm deviate from the "cone of error". The issue is that the forecasters tend to put a line in the middle of the cone, and that's were people look. If the storm moves a bit off that line, then people say that they made a forecast error. The media has been drilling us since last year to look at the cone, not the line in the middle. If you're in the cone, you better get ready. We had a quiet night in Hollywood, a few gusts of wind, lots of rain. But the storm is staying well south of us. My shutters are up, and I'm at work already so I am not taking them down till probably tomorrow morning. We are now under a Tornado watch. The latest cone of error has the storm moving anywhere from the middle of Louisiana to just south of the Texas/Mexico border. Good luck to all. |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by E-Double on Sep 20th, 2005, 7:29am Good luck!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 20th, 2005, 8:03am Well so Far the Sun is Shining, the winds have picked up a bit here... we are just north of the Tropical Storm Warning, but its getting really dark to the South of us... They are saying on the radio that they are already getting high winds...to the south and its been raining almost 24 hrs down there.... Funny thing is we still have not gotton any rain and we are way low for the summer.. so far.... karma.. I am not going to argue with you over the way the predict where the storms are going.... They Suck.... We can send a Probe across the universe, but they still can't tell you where the damn things are going to hit... Sorry...... We have the hatches battened down and are just waiting to see what happens next..... Be Prepared God Bless Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by ghost62 on Sep 20th, 2005, 8:54am Hang on tight guys and gals Im prayn for ya as I know all of us CH ers are. May the wind blow over and leave you unharmed. I wish I could help more. God Bless and stay safe as poss. :( |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by karma on Sep 20th, 2005, 12:43pm RITA IS MOVING WESTWARD OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 KNOTS SINCE IT IS ALREADY SOUTH OF A DEEP LAYER MEAN RIDGE. THIS PATTERN IS FORECAST TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THERAFTER...THE HIGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD LEAVING A WEAKNESS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS FORECAST PATTERN SHOULD EVENTUALLY FORCE RITA TOWARD THE NORTHWEST TOWARD THE TEXAS COAST. THIS IS ONE THE CASES OF RELATIVELY HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE TRACK FORECAST SINCE MOST OF THE RELIABLE GUIDANCE ARE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED. Quote:
I love that quote! FORECASTER AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 20/1500Z 23.8N 81.0W 75 KT 12HR VT 21/0000Z 24.0N 83.1W 80 KT 24HR VT 21/1200Z 24.3N 85.8W 85 KT 36HR VT 22/0000Z 24.5N 88.3W 90 KT 48HR VT 22/1200Z 24.5N 90.5W 95 KT 72HR VT 23/1200Z 26.0N 94.0W 100 KT 96HR VT 24/1200Z 29.5N 96.4W 65 KT...INLAND 120HR VT 25/1200Z 33.5N 97.5W 30 KT...INLAND Hopefully Rita remains weak. |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by cootie on Sep 20th, 2005, 1:04pm Myself.....I think hurricane EXACT predictions are about the same as predicting a ch attack.......you mite be close but no cigar. Calculated guestimations Pam |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 20th, 2005, 1:23pm http://storage.msn.com/x1pxOYwqu4SjF5iohZHoAAhedPNC-fbvhopgMimcugLv05Tv-6j9CZUu3AxDDzthapXC58vu2FCnc9NW9njS13F5FOkKl4qeZydhYX4696cso6pV5maWq_1XFHQDSk1eVRfu4eO8MLtLp3WAOcTeqrO44FTJXIEHl7K Well this is where I am.. I can tell you one thing, the weather here is going to shit real quick.... the winds are picking up alot..... Just thought I'd post an update.... Be Safe God Bless Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by sandie99 on Sep 20th, 2005, 2:05pm My thoughts are with everyone at Rita's route. I hope that there won't be a disaster in the cards this time. Sanna |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 20th, 2005, 2:21pm I wish this thing was not going into the Gulf... the water temp today is about 93 degrees... it won't take this one long to gain alot of strength..... I just hope Texas is ready, I hope it dies before it gets there, but better be prepared.... looks like its gonna be a Cat 3 or 4 Soon.... God Bless Ya's Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 20th, 2005, 2:51pm Quote:
Quote:
This was at 3pm.. From NOAA..... |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by LeLimey on Sep 20th, 2005, 3:09pm I've just been watching it on our news here.. its scary. You make sure you and yours are safe Charlie and that goes for ALL our family in Florida and whereever else this thing is headed. |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by jcmquix on Sep 20th, 2005, 3:15pm Well I think we are good here Helen, but thanks.... I just hate when they go into the Gulf, its like playing spin the bottle sometimes.... they aim one way and go the other.... Praying for TX right now.... Hope they are ready, after all the help they gave after Katrina, just does not seem Fair..... We will all be there to help out .... God Bless Ya's Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by Charlie on Sep 20th, 2005, 4:32pm This is bizarre. I've never seen such a bunch of destructive storms. Damn Gulf really pumps them up this time. http://www.netsync.net/users/charlies/gifs/Clearly End SIGN.png Charlie |
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Title: Re: Rita... Here we go again.... Post by LeLimey on Sep 20th, 2005, 5:17pm Well if this is global warming bring back the sodding ice age! |
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