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Topic: Batten down the hatches (Read 158 times) |
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deltadarlin
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Batten down the hatches
« on: Apr 3rd, 2007, 5:19pm » |
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June 1 starts the new hurricane season. Hope this years predictions do like last years and fall way below what they thought it would be. Note the increase from December to April, 4 months. What the hell will it be like when the season really gets here?
Otherwise, it may get nasty.
Info taken from
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/2007/april2007/
First column is Issue Date 8 December '06 Second one is the most recent one. Issue Date 3 April '07
Named Storms (NS) (9.6)
14 17
Named Storm Days (NSD) (49.1)
70 85
Hurricanes (H) (5.9)
7 9
Hurricane Days (HD) (24.5)
35 40
Intense Hurricanes (IH) (2.3)
3 5
Intense Hurricane Days (IHD) (5.0)
8 11
PROBABILITIES FOR AT LEAST ONE MAJOR (CATEGORY 3-4-5) HURRICANE LANDFALL ON EACH OF THE FOLLOWING COASTAL AREAS:
1) Entire U.S. coastline - 74% (average for last century is 52%)
2) U.S. East Coast Including Peninsula Florida - 50% (average for last century is 31%)
3) Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville - 49% (average for last century is 30%)
4) Above-average major hurricane landfall risk in the Caribbean
Another tidbit of info from the site.
"We were quite fortunate last year in that we had no hurricane landfalls. The 2006 season was only the 12th year since 1945 that we have witnessed no hurricane landfalls along the United States coastline. Since 1945, we have had only two consecutive-year periods where there were no hurricane landfalls. The two consecutive seasons of 1981-1982 and 2000-2001 had no hurricane landfalls. The dearth of landfalls in 2000 and 2001 was especially impressive considering that both of these seasons had above-average hurricane activity. From Hurricane Irene in 1999 to Hurricane Lili in 2002, 21 consecutive hurricanes developed in the Atlantic basin without a single U.S. landfall. "
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| « Last Edit: Apr 3rd, 2007, 5:26pm by deltadarlin » |
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